Figure 1: Usain Bolt after new world 100 m. record(img.skysports.com/08/08/800x600/Usain-bolt)

A study conducted by Norwegian Scientists attempted to give a scientific estimate of Usain Bolt’s time, had he not begun to decelerate. The scientists were able to use measurements from a camera that moved on a rail along the track, and the time from the official clock pictured on the screenshot, and a statistical technique called a smooth spline to derive the equations for Bolt’s velocity and acceleration (Eriksen et al, 2008). The smooth spline calculates velocity as a function of distance over time and acceleration as the derivative of velocity based on the movement of the camera, bodies in the screenshot of the race, and official clock (Eriksen et al, 2008). These derivatives are:

v(s)=ds/dt: a(t)= dv/dt=d^2s/dt^2

Based on these calculations of Usain Bolt and silver medalist Richard Thompson, a mathematical representation of the race is determined. Bolt and Thompson began the race evenly, however, Bolt reaches a higher speed about four seconds into the race (Eriksen et al, 2008). Assuming that Bolt matches Thompson’s rate of deceleration through the latter stages of the race, rather than the rapid deceleration that occurs when Bolt begins to celebrate, it is possible to estimate a projected time had Bolt continued to sprint all out. Using a variant of the equation below, it is possible to determine Bolts speed had he continued the race at a pace equal that of Thompson.

V=Vo+at

If Bolt met these conditions, based on these calculations he would have ran 9.61 ±0.04 seconds for the hundred meter dash (Eriksen et al, 2008)!

Figure 3: Usain Bolt blazing by (http://gojumbos.com/cblog2).

Bolt, however, could potentially go even faster. Wind plays a large role in sprint races. When Bolt ran his world record in Beijing, there was almost no recordable wind. By the International Association of Athletics Federations (IAAF) regulations, a maximum tail wind speed of 2.0 meters per second is permitted for world track records. How much affect can this 2.0 m/s wind have on a 100 meter dash? Experts say a

tailwind of this speed would decrease a 100 meter dash time by 0.10-0.12 seconds at sea level (Mureika, 2001). Altitude, or rather air resistance, has an affect as well. For every 1000 meters in elevation gain, sprinters can expect a 0.03 decrease in time (Mureika, 2001). Given that Bolt is a young (21) runner with room to improve his reaction time at the start and other possible variables, a future time under 9.5 seconds is not inconceivable.

How is Usain Bolt so much faster than previous sprinters? According to the Keller model of running, an individual’s speed can be modeled as a function of time as:

v(t)=F

*t*[1-e^(-t/*t*)]where F is equal to

f(t)=[dv(t)/dt] + [vt/

*t*]and

*t*is an individual's maximum speed.Then, to determine distance in a race, distance traveled in time (t) is integrated and the final equation is:

D(t)= F

*t*^2[(t/*t*)+e^(-t/*t*)-1] (Wagner, 1998)So, simply stated, Usain Bolt has a higher value than any other runner in recorded history (Wagner, 1998). More comprehensively, Bolt, at six feet and five inches, has size and fast-twitch muscles never seen before in a 100 meter sprinter. Ato Boldon, an Olympic medalist turned NBC commentator says that Bolt combines a superior turnover rate and stride length. Addressing Bolt’s natural advantages, Boldon states to the Herald tribune,

“ ‘A big wheel is going to turn over slower than a small wheel, and it used to be thought that was a disadvantage except now when you see this guy who has the turnover of somebody six feet,’ Boldon said. ‘Add that to the fact that he's probably covering three or four more inches with every stride and that he's only taking 40 to 41 strides to finish a 100, and you cannot argue with the math.’ Boldon said he and the former 100-meter record holder Maurice Greene, who are both 5-foot-9, used to finish their races in between 45 and 46 strides. Tyson Gay and Asafa Powell, Bolt's top current competition, are at about 45. Carl Lewis required between 43 and 44 at his fastest.” (Clarey, 2008).

Bolt is able to take longer strides at a equal or faster rate than his opponents, leading to his superior 100 meter dash times. At any rate, clearly Usain Bolt is a special athlete, and world records from the 100 meter dash to the 400 meter run are in jeopardy for the next five or six years.

Figure 4: Bolt is aiming for more (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/).

References

-Clarey, Christopher. "As Usain Bolt resets the rules, experts wonder what the sprinter can't do." International Herald Tribune19 Aug 2008 3Dec2008

-Eriksen, H.K., J.R. Kristiansen, O. Langangen, and I.K. Wehus. "Velocity Dispersions in a Cluster of Stars: How Fast Could Usain Bolt Have Run?." American Journal of Physics 02 Sept 2008 03 Dec 2008 .

-Mureika, J.R.. "The Legality of Wind and Altitude Assisted Performances in the Sprints." New Studies in Athletics 15.3/4.2000 53-60. 3 Dec 2008

-Wagner, Glenn. "The 100-meter dash: Theory and experiment." The Physics Teacher 36. 3Mar 1998 144-146. 3 Dec 2008.

-Wagner, Glenn. "The 100-meter dash: Theory and experiment." The Physics Teacher 36. 3Mar 1998 144-146. 3 Dec 2008

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